9th Circuit vs. 2nd Circuit

Central California vs. Southern New York

Federal sentencing comparison · FY2024 · Source: USSC

For educational and research purposes only. Not legal advice.
Avg Sentence (FY2024)
51.0 mo
Central California
vs
61.7 mo
Southern New York
Central sentences 10.7 mo shorter
Cases (FY2024)
521
Central California
vs
1,048
Southern New York
Southern handles 2× more cases
Disparity vs. National Avg
-31.7%
Central California
vs
-16.5%
Southern New York

Guideline Compliance Breakdown

Central California

9th Circuit
Within Guidelines 5% (27)
Above Guidelines 3% (17)
Below Guidelines N/A (0)
Booker Variance N/A (0)
Guilty Pleas
86%
Prison Sentences
90%

Southern New York

2nd Circuit
Within Guidelines 4% (43)
Above Guidelines 2% (23)
Below Guidelines N/A (0)
Booker Variance N/A (0)
Guilty Pleas
62%
Prison Sentences
90%

Full Metrics Comparison

Metric Central California Southern New York Winner
Avg Sentence (months) 51.0 61.7 California
Total Cases 521 1,048
Within Guidelines % 5% 4% California
Above Guidelines % 3% 2% York
Below Guidelines % N/A N/A
Guilty Plea Rate 86% 62%
Prison Sentence Rate 90% 90%
Disparity vs. National -31.7% -16.5% California

What This Central California vs. Southern New York Comparison Reveals

In FY2024, the Central California District (9th Circuit) handled 521 federal sentencings with an average imposed term of 51.0 months, while the Southern New York District (2nd Circuit) handled 1,048 cases at an average of 61.7 months. That is a 10.7-month gap — the Southern District sentences longer on average. Case volume alone tells part of the story: Southern processed roughly 2× more defendants than Central, which affects guideline compliance patterns and the mix of offenses each court sees.

Guideline compliance diverges as well. In Central California, 5% of cases were sentenced within the guideline range, 3% above, and N/A% below, with Booker variances in N/A% of dispositions. In Southern New York, the corresponding figures were 4% within, 2% above, N/A% below, and N/A% Booker variances. Guilty-plea rates ran at 86% vs. 62%, and prison-sentence rates at 90% vs. 90% respectively — metrics that capture both charging practice and judicial discretion across the two courts.

Set against the nationwide benchmark for the same offense mix, Central California ran a disparity of -31.7% and Southern New York ran -16.5%. That comparison adjusts for the offense mix each district actually handles, so it isolates court-level patterns from pure caseload composition. Readers should still treat these as aggregate descriptive statistics — individual cases turn on criminal history, specific guideline adjustments, cooperation agreements, and statutory mandatory minimums that the district averages cannot resolve. This data is presented for research and educational purposes only and is not legal advice.

About This Comparison

Central California 9th Circuit · California · 521 cases in FY2024
Southern New York 2nd Circuit · New York · 1,048 cases in FY2024

Source: United States Sentencing Commission (USSC), Individual Offender Datafiles, FY2015–FY2024. Percentages are calculated from the total sentenced cases for each district in FY2024. "Within guidelines" means the judge imposed a sentence within the prescribed guidelines range. "Booker variance" reflects sentencing under 18 U.S.C. § 3553(a) outside the guidelines range.

Source: USSC Commission Datafiles · How we compute these metrics

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