2nd Circuit · Connecticut · FY2015–FY2025

Connecticut District

76% of classifiable Connecticut sentences landed below the guideline range - common below-guideline share (> 64%).

79.5
Avg months FY2025
well above the national average
260
Federal cases
22%
Within guidelines
low guideline adherence
+18.0%
Disparity vs natl

Below-guideline book · Connecticut FY2025

76% of classifiable outcomes landed below the guideline range (common below-guideline share (> 64%)). Case-level mean CH 0.81 (19% no prior) ; defendants 88% male / 12% female / 10% non-citizen. Mean OL 4.5 on 260 rows, departure share is the signature, not volume.

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The verdict

According to the U.S. Sentencing Commission FY2025 Individual Offender Datafiles, Connecticut District ranks #72 of 93 by caseload (260 cases) and #34 of 88 districts with at least 100 cases by average sentence (79.5 months).

#72
Caseload of 93
#34
Avg sentence of 88
79.5 months
This district avg FY2025
260
This district cases FY2025

Caseload rank covers every district with at least one FY case. Average-sentence rank covers districts with at least 100 cases so a thin docket cannot top the list. Offense ranks cover the 30 published guideline types. Averages follow offense mix, not court character.

Connecticut USSC docket plate

BOOK-LIGHT Light book SENT-LONG 80 mo avg DISP-LONG +18.0% long WITHIN-LOOSE 22% within RANK-MID #34/88 PHOTO-NEAR Near Eastern CIR-2ND 2nd

FY2025: 260 cases at 79.5 mo average · #34/88 harshest-rank · mix-adjusted +18.0% (DISP-LONG). Nearest ABS peer: Eastern (-0.7 mo).

Avg-sentence neighbourhood · Connecticut

Harsh/lenient poles plus ABS(avg_sentence) peers (≥100 FY2025 cases) - not a full 93-district reprint.

mo avg
Source U.S. Sentencing Commission, Individual Offender Datafiles As of FY2025

For educational and research purposes only. This page summarizes historical USSC sentencing statistics, not a prediction for any individual case, sentencing depends on many case-specific factors. Consult a licensed criminal defense attorney for guidance on a specific matter.

Source: U.S. Sentencing Commission Individual Offender Datafiles, FY2015–FY2025. · Methodology and data dictionary.

0 mo50 mo100 mo150 mo200 mo250 mo300 mo FY15FY16FY17FY18FY19FY20FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25 79.5 mo273 mo Guideline midpointAvg sentence
Connecticut: FY2025 average 79.5 mo (+16.3 vs FY2024); caseload +11. Chart = avg vs guideline midpoint.
YearCasesAvg (mo)Within GLAbove GLBelow GL
FY2025 260 79.5 22% 3% 76%
FY2024 249 63.2 23% 4% 72%
FY2023 355 56.3 22% 2% 76%
FY2022 335 55.8 28% 0% 72%
FY2021 302 52.4 26% 3% 71%
FY2020 353 50.9 36% 3% 61%
FY2019 349 45.8 34% 3% 63%
FY2018 322 49.8 37% 1% 62%
FY2017 345 54.8 32% 4% 64%
FY2016 304 49.7 28% 3% 69%
FY2015 334 52.2 26% 1% 74%

Top Offenses (FY2025)

Sentencing Disparity

+18.0%
vs. national average (FY2025)

Most Common Offenses - Connecticut (FY2025)

Federal cases sentenced in this district by offense category

cases

What this shows Drug Trafficking was the most common offense in this district, accounting for 105 of the cases sentenced in FY2025.

Source U.S. Sentencing Commission, Individual Offender Datafiles As of FY2025

Nationwide districts with similar caseload or average sentence

Sparse-book Connecticut peer sets: FY2025 caseload nearest-neighbors and ABS(average sentence) peers - volume matches matter more when the local book is thin.

Similar FY caseload

Nearest nationwide districts by ABS(260 cases here).

Similar average sentence

Nearest nationwide districts by ABS(79.5 mo here; ≥100-case books).

Read with Connecticut

ABS(avg_sentence) peers first, then a stamp-branched guide - not a fixed three-guide strip. This sheet stamps BOOK-LIGHT · SENT-LONG · DISP-LONG · WITHIN-LOOSE · RANK-MID · PHOTO-NEAR · CIR-2ND.

Source: U.S. Sentencing Commission Individual Offender Datafiles, FY2015–FY2025.

Source: USSC public-use extracts rendered by PlainSentencing; methodology at /methodology/.