9th Circuit vs. 9th Circuit

Alaska vs. Montana

Federal sentencing comparison · FY2024 · Source: USSC

For educational and research purposes only. Not legal advice. Average-sentence gaps between districts reflect each district's offense mix, cooperation rates, and caseload composition along with judicial practice - not judicial character alone.
Avg Sentence (FY2024)
125.2 mo
Alaska
vs
30.3 mo
Montana
Alaska sentences 94.9 mo longer
Cases (FY2024)
311
Alaska
vs
1,696
Montana
Montana handles 5.5× more cases
Disparity vs. National Avg
+11.0%
Alaska
vs
-11.2%
Montana

Guideline Compliance Breakdown

Alaska

9th Circuit
Within Guidelines 63% (186)
Above Guidelines 8% (24)
Below Guidelines 28% (83)
Guilty Pleas
54%
Prison Sentences
97%

Montana

9th Circuit
Within Guidelines 38% (638)
Above Guidelines 3% (54)
Below Guidelines 58% (969)
Guilty Pleas
77%
Prison Sentences
90%

Full Metrics Comparison

Metric Alaska Montana Winner
Avg Sentence (months) 125.2 30.3 Montana
Total Cases 311 1,696
Within Guidelines % 63% 38% Alaska
Above Guidelines % 8% 3% Montana
Below Guidelines % 28% 58%
Guilty Plea Rate 54% 77%
Prison Sentence Rate 97% 90%
Disparity vs. National +11.0% -11.2% Montana

What This Alaska vs. Montana Comparison Reveals

In FY2024, the Alaska District (9th Circuit) handled 311 federal sentencings with an average imposed term of 125.2 months, while the Montana District (9th Circuit) handled 1,696 cases at an average of 30.3 months. That is a 94.9-month gap - the Alaska District sentences longer on average. Case volume alone tells part of the story: Montana processed roughly 5.5× more defendants than Alaska, which affects guideline compliance patterns and the mix of offenses each court sees.

Guideline compliance diverges as well. Among cases with a determinable guideline range, Alaska sentenced 63% within the range, 8% above, and 28% below. In Montana, the corresponding figures were 38% within, 3% above, and 58% below. Guilty-plea rates ran at 54% vs. 77%, and prison-sentence rates at 97% vs. 90% respectively, metrics that capture both charging practice and judicial discretion across the two courts.

Set against the nationwide benchmark for the same offense mix, Alaska ran a disparity of +11.0% and Montana ran -11.2%. That comparison adjusts for the offense mix each district actually handles, so it isolates court-level patterns from pure caseload composition. Readers should still treat these as aggregate descriptive statistics, individual cases turn on criminal history, specific guideline adjustments, cooperation agreements, and statutory mandatory minimums that the district averages cannot resolve. This data is presented for research and educational purposes only and is not legal advice.

About This Comparison

Alaska 9th Circuit · Alaska · 311 cases in FY2024
Montana 9th Circuit · Montana · 1,696 cases in FY2024

Source: United States Sentencing Commission (USSC), Individual Offender Datafiles, FY2015–FY2024. Within/above/below percentages are computed over cases with a determinable guideline range in FY2024; guilty-plea and prison rates are over all sentenced cases. "Within guidelines" means the imposed sentence fell within the calculated guideline range; "above" and "below" are upward and downward departures or variances under 18 U.S.C. § 3553(a).

Source: USSC Commission Datafiles · How we compute these metrics

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