4th Circuit vs. 4th Circuit

Eastern Virginia vs. Western Virginia

Federal sentencing comparison · FY2024 · Source: USSC

For educational and research purposes only. Not legal advice.
Avg Sentence (FY2024)
74.8 mo
Eastern Virginia
vs
87.9 mo
Western Virginia
Eastern sentences 13.1 mo shorter
Cases (FY2024)
449
Eastern Virginia
vs
827
Western Virginia
Western handles 1.8× more cases
Disparity vs. National Avg
-5.0%
Eastern Virginia
vs
+0.8%
Western Virginia

Guideline Compliance Breakdown

Eastern Virginia

4th Circuit
Within Guidelines 2% (9)
Above Guidelines 4% (19)
Below Guidelines N/A (0)
Booker Variance N/A (0)
Guilty Pleas
81%
Prison Sentences
83%

Western Virginia

4th Circuit
Within Guidelines 4% (35)
Above Guidelines 22% (179)
Below Guidelines N/A (0)
Booker Variance N/A (0)
Guilty Pleas
63%
Prison Sentences
75%

Full Metrics Comparison

Metric Eastern Virginia Western Virginia Winner
Avg Sentence (months) 74.8 87.9 Virginia
Total Cases 449 827
Within Guidelines % 2% 4% Virginia
Above Guidelines % 4% 22% Virginia
Below Guidelines % N/A N/A
Guilty Plea Rate 81% 63%
Prison Sentence Rate 83% 75%
Disparity vs. National -5.0% +0.8% Virginia

What This Eastern Virginia vs. Western Virginia Comparison Reveals

In FY2024, the Eastern Virginia District (4th Circuit) handled 449 federal sentencings with an average imposed term of 74.8 months, while the Western Virginia District (4th Circuit) handled 827 cases at an average of 87.9 months. That is a 13.1-month gap — the Western District sentences longer on average. Case volume alone tells part of the story: Western processed roughly 1.8× more defendants than Eastern, which affects guideline compliance patterns and the mix of offenses each court sees.

Guideline compliance diverges as well. In Eastern Virginia, 2% of cases were sentenced within the guideline range, 4% above, and N/A% below, with Booker variances in N/A% of dispositions. In Western Virginia, the corresponding figures were 4% within, 22% above, N/A% below, and N/A% Booker variances. Guilty-plea rates ran at 81% vs. 63%, and prison-sentence rates at 83% vs. 75% respectively — metrics that capture both charging practice and judicial discretion across the two courts.

Set against the nationwide benchmark for the same offense mix, Eastern Virginia ran a disparity of -5.0% and Western Virginia ran +0.8%. That comparison adjusts for the offense mix each district actually handles, so it isolates court-level patterns from pure caseload composition. Readers should still treat these as aggregate descriptive statistics — individual cases turn on criminal history, specific guideline adjustments, cooperation agreements, and statutory mandatory minimums that the district averages cannot resolve. This data is presented for research and educational purposes only and is not legal advice.

About This Comparison

Eastern Virginia 4th Circuit · Virginia · 449 cases in FY2024
Western Virginia 4th Circuit · Virginia · 827 cases in FY2024

Source: United States Sentencing Commission (USSC), Individual Offender Datafiles, FY2015–FY2024. Percentages are calculated from the total sentenced cases for each district in FY2024. "Within guidelines" means the judge imposed a sentence within the prescribed guidelines range. "Booker variance" reflects sentencing under 18 U.S.C. § 3553(a) outside the guidelines range.

Source: USSC Commission Datafiles · How we compute these metrics

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